Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 10.525964 12.024697 13.669371 15.609498 17.837478 20.318188 23.292947
2025-12-14 8.423811 10.365174 12.663838 15.591527 19.229185 23.610768 29.304911
2025-12-21 7.136391 9.252220 11.895440 15.450156 20.122013 26.075234 34.273301
2025-12-28 6.485082 8.779866 11.777082 15.994817 21.804678 29.566434 40.790366
2026-01-04 5.927751 8.331647 11.594774 16.371371 23.226286 32.771004 47.178766
2026-01-11 5.525801 8.032281 11.554622 16.897283 24.854007 36.356378 54.411121
2026-01-18 4.929066 7.381995 10.936918 16.502670 25.070771 37.880381 58.705866
2026-01-25 4.457723 6.862769 10.449022 16.231332 25.411067 39.571610 63.361447
2026-02-01 4.057051 6.408288 10.008591 15.975123 25.724135 41.210981 68.044486
2026-02-08 3.706840 5.997600 9.593698 15.709052 25.976043 42.744041 72.658274
2026-02-15 3.399701 5.626813 9.206116 15.443349 26.187743 44.203386 77.249467
2026-02-22 3.305096 5.595480 9.363918 16.093260 27.988317 48.467934 87.100690
2026-03-01 3.136870 5.428617 9.286267 16.340796 29.128295 51.720664 95.523816
2026-03-08 2.937582 5.190783 9.066573 16.316574 29.777271 54.153007 102.670631
2026-03-15 2.738516 4.935798 8.794039 16.168598 30.177450 56.151252 109.166189
2026-03-22 2.665298 4.900925 8.909119 16.739620 31.964088 60.876810 121.421953
2026-03-29 2.571661 4.819906 8.931712 17.134427 33.441515 65.131355 133.148032
2026-04-05 2.505044 4.783636 9.032963 17.685860 35.268435 70.220201 147.084906
2026-04-12 2.322216 4.509602 8.660952 17.272095 35.118544 71.328622 152.732879
2026-04-19 2.170403 4.284533 8.366214 16.987598 35.204514 72.917126 159.556046
2026-04-26 2.032834 4.077364 8.090900 16.718972 35.296880 74.518381 166.550798
2026-05-03 1.905098 3.880569 7.821617 16.440015 35.340342 76.011733 173.436826
2026-05-10 1.787303 3.695576 7.562726 16.161452 35.358402 77.444834 180.314139